Events › Other › Will a human land on the moon before 2028?…
Other 1 platform 8 markets

Will a human land on the moon before 2028?

Combined AI YES
33.8%
Avg Confidence
53/100
Combined Volume
$179K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?…
2.58%
8.00%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$19K
Volume
Manifold
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?…
52.00%
49.09%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$56K
Volume
Manifold
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?…
1.60%
4.60%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
60
Confidence
$36K
Volume
Manifold
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?…
20.00%
23.00%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$29K
Volume
Manifold
Will humans return to the Moon in 2026?…
87.70%
81.59%
AI YES
-3
Edge pts
55
Confidence
$20K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?…
 2.58% 8.00% +3
50
$19K
Manifold
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?…
near 		52.00% 49.09% +3
50
$56K
Manifold
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?…
near 		1.60% 4.60% +3
60
$36K
Manifold
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?…
near 		20.00% 23.00% +3
50
$29K
Manifold
Will humans return to the Moon in 2026?…
near 		87.70% 81.59% -3
55
$20K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 2.58% NO 97.42%
Manifold
YES 52.00% NO 48.00%
Manifold
YES 1.60% NO 98.40%
Manifold
YES 20.00% NO 80.00%
Manifold
YES 87.70% NO 12.30%
Spread: 86.7 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' for a moon landing by 2027.
  • 2 The market probability suggests a consensus against imminent lunar missions.
  • 3 Pulse AI shows a slightly higher probability for 'YES', indicating some optimism.
  • 4 The confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
  • 5 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential developments in lunar exploration.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 8 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 2.58%
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?…
Manifold 52.00%
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?…
Manifold 1.60%
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?…
Manifold 20.00%
Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?…
Manifold 87.70%
Will humans return to the Moon in 2026?…
+3 more markets
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