Events › Other › Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?…
Other 1 platform 2 markets

Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?

Combined AI YES
6.3%
Avg Confidence
73/100
Combined Volume
$895K
Platform Comparison
Polymarket
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?…
5.75%
5.75%
AI YES
0
Edge pts
80
Confidence
$659K
Volume
Polymarket
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?…
5.50%
7.00%
AI YES
+1.5
Edge pts
65
Confidence
$236K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Polymarket
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?…
 5.75% 5.75% 0
80
$659K
Polymarket
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?…
near 		5.50% 7.00% +1.5
65
$236K
Odds by Platform
Polymarket
YES 5.75% NO 94.25%
Polymarket
YES 5.50% NO 94.50%
Spread: 0.3 pts — platforms broadly agree.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment strongly favors NO disarmament by the deadline.
  • 2 Market probability indicates low confidence in disarmament occurring.
  • 3 The edge of 0 suggests the market is fairly priced at this time.
  • 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, with 521 hours remaining.
  • 5 Confidence level of 80/100 reflects a robust consensus among participants.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Polymarket 5.75%
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?…
Polymarket 5.50%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?…
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