Events › Other › Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?…
Other 1 platform 2 markets

Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?

Combined AI YES
53.2%
Avg Confidence
50/100
Combined Volume
$139K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?…
47.19%
50.67%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$26K
Volume
Manifold
Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?…
58.26%
55.68%
AI YES
-3
Edge pts
50
Confidence
$112K
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?…
 47.19% 50.67% +3
50
$26K
Manifold
Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?…
near 		58.26% 55.68% -3
50
$112K
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 47.19% NO 52.81%
Manifold
YES 58.26% NO 41.74%
Spread: 11.1 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current sentiment is closely divided between YES and NO.
  • 2 Market probability shows a slight preference for NO.
  • 3 AI probability indicates a more balanced perspective.
  • 4 Confidence level suggests significant uncertainty in predictions.
  • 5 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in public perception or scientific advancements.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 2 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 47.19%
Will someone born before 2001 live to be 150?…
Manifold 58.26%
Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?…
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