Events › Other › Will Thomas leave next?…
Other 1 platform 4 markets

Will Thomas leave next?

Combined AI YES
25.4%
Avg Confidence
43/100
Combined Volume
$6K
Platform Comparison
Manifold
Will Thomas leave next?…
22.02%
28.01%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$1K
Volume
Manifold
Will Sotomayor leave next?…
5.18%
8.70%
AI YES
+3
Edge pts
45
Confidence
$3K
Volume
Manifold
Will Kentanji leave next?…
1.26%
6.26%
AI YES
+5
Edge pts
40
Confidence
—
Volume
Manifold
Will Alito leave next?…
66.49%
60.47%
AI YES
-5
Edge pts
40
Confidence
—
Volume
Platform Comparison
Platform Market YES AI YES Edge Confidence Volume
Manifold
Will Thomas leave next?…
 22.02% 28.01% +3
45
$1K
Manifold
Will Sotomayor leave next?…
near 		5.18% 8.70% +3
45
$3K
Manifold
Will Kentanji leave next?…
near 		1.26% 6.26% +5
40
—
Manifold
Will Alito leave next?…
near 		66.49% 60.47% -5
40
—
Odds by Platform
Manifold
YES 22.02% NO 77.98%
Manifold
YES 5.18% NO 94.82%
Manifold
YES 1.26% NO 98.74%
Manifold
YES 66.49% NO 33.51%
Spread: 65.2 pts — platforms disagree significantly.
⚡ AI Market Analysis
  • 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards Thomas staying.
  • 2 The probabilities from the market and AI are closely aligned.
  • 3 Confidence level is moderate at 45 out of 100.
  • 4 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential shifts.
  • 5 Market appears to be well-balanced with a slight edge.
AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.
Event Info
Category Other
Platforms 1 platform
Markets 4 markets
Markets on this Event
Manifold 22.02%
Will Thomas leave next?…
Manifold 5.18%
Will Sotomayor leave next?…
Manifold 1.26%
Will Kentanji leave next?…
Manifold 66.49%
Will Alito leave next?…
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