Will Iran officially withdraw from the 2026 FIFA World Cup before August 1, 2026?

Iran's likelihood of withdrawing from the 2026 World Cup is closely contested.

The market indicates a slight inclination towards Iran officially withdrawing from the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with a probability of 55.65% for a YES outcome. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a nearly even split, reflecting uncertainty in the current sentiment and insufficient data to make a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market shows a narrow margin favoring withdrawal.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a nearly balanced probability, reflecting uncertainty.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100, suggesting mixed opinions.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant at 3023 hours, allowing for potential developments.
• 5 Market edge of -5 highlights insufficient data for a decisive conclusion.