Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 85/100. Market appears fairly priced.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Max Houkes in the Alicante, scheduled for March 23 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.