The market strongly favors the match going over 22.5 games.
The prediction market shows a 100% probability for the match to exceed 22.5 games, supported by a high AI probability of 99%. With a confidence level of 85/100 and a time to expiry of 154 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with a minimal edge.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Valentin Royer in the Cap Cana, scheduled for March 12 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.