Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5

The market favors a total under 23.5 games in the Alcaraz vs. Medvedev match.

The current market probability indicates a 63% chance of the match total being under 23.5 games, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for the over at 38.5%. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced, indicating a balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Market probability leans towards under 23.5 games.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight inclination towards over 23.5 games.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in current pricing.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 173 hours.
• 5 Market appears to be fairly priced with a 1.5 edge.

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 14 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.