Alcaraz vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Market on Alcaraz vs. Medvedev set games is closely contested with a slight lean towards under.

The prediction market shows a near even split on whether Set 1 will have over or under 9.5 games, with a slight edge towards the under. The Pulse AI also reflects this uncertainty, indicating a balanced probability of both outcomes. With a confidence level of 55/100 and a time to expiry of 173 hours, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability shows a slight preference for under 9.5 games.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates an equal likelihood for both outcomes.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in player form or conditions.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Daniil Medvedev in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 14 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.