Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Market predicts Backpack FDV will not exceed $4B after launch.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Backpack's fully diluted valuation (FDV) will remain below $4 billion one day post-launch, with a high probability of 99.1% for a NO outcome. The Pulse AI further supports this view, assigning a 95.6% probability to the NO outcome, suggesting that market sentiment is aligned with cautious expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 High confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty.
• 3 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for market adjustments.
• 4 Market probability is closely aligned with Pulse AI predictions.
• 5 Liquidity context suggests a well-informed betting environment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Backpack's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Backpack (https://x.com/Backpack) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".