The market strongly favors over 10.5 games in Set 1 between Bailly and Canas.
The prediction market indicates a 100% probability for over 10.5 games in Set 1, aligning closely with the AI's 99% probability. This suggests a high level of confidence in the match being competitive enough to exceed the set threshold. The market is currently viewed as fairly priced, with a slight edge indicating no significant mispricing.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Murcia, scheduled for March 19 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.