Barrena vs. Varillas: Match O/U 21.5

The market strongly favors the match going over 21.5 games.

With a market probability of 99.95% for the match to exceed 21.5 games, there is a strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability, indicating high confidence in the outcome. However, the edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced expectations.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of the match going over 21.5.
• 2 The probability from Pulse AI aligns closely with market expectations.
• 3 Current edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal room for profit.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 116 hours, adding urgency to market movements.
• 5 Confidence level of 75/100 suggests a solid but not absolute certainty in the prediction.

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Barrena and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Sao Paulo, scheduled for March 26 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.