Market expects a high FDV post-launch, with a strong YES probability.
The prediction market shows a significant probability of 77.5% for a base FDV above $50M one day after launch. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 73%, indicating a consensus on the potential success of the launch. The edge of -4.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a moderate level of confidence at 60/100.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Based's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Based (https://x.com/BasedOneX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".