Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10?

Market predicts Bitcoin will rise on March 10 with 78% probability.

The prediction market shows a strong inclination towards Bitcoin increasing in value by March 10, with a probability of 78%. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's assessment of a 75% likelihood for the same outcome, indicating a consensus on the expected trend.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a price increase for Bitcoin.
• 2 Historical trends show volatility around key dates can impact prices.
• 3 Liquidity in the market appears stable, supporting current probabilities.
• 4 Time pressure is high with only 13 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of -3 suggests the market is fairly priced relative to AI predictions.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 9 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 10 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.