Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22?

Market predicts Bitcoin will be down on March 22 with high confidence.

The prediction market shows an 86.5% probability that Bitcoin will be down on March 22, indicating strong bearish sentiment. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this outlook, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the NO outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment is strongly bearish.
• 2 The probability of Bitcoin being down is significantly higher than up.
• 3 Historical data suggests similar patterns in bearish trends.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, supporting current market pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is high with only 12 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 22 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 22 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.