Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?

Market sentiment is nearly even for Bitcoin's price direction on March 23.

The prediction market shows a slight edge for Bitcoin to go up, with a probability of 51.50%. However, the Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability of 53.5% for an upward movement, suggesting a close contest. With only 10 hours until expiry, market dynamics could shift quickly based on new information.

• 1 Current market probability favors a slight upward trend for Bitcoin.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a marginally higher probability for an increase.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 2.
• 4 Confidence level is relatively high at 80/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, increasing potential volatility.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 23 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 23 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.