Market favors Bitcoin to remain down on March 24, with a 65.5% probability.
The prediction market indicates a higher likelihood of Bitcoin being down on March 24, with a 65.5% probability compared to 34.5% for an uptrend. The Pulse AI also supports this outlook, albeit with a slightly higher probability for an uptrend at 36.5%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 80 out of 100.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 24 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 24 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.