Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9?

Market indicates a 63.5% chance Bitcoin will rise by March 9.

The prediction market shows a 63.5% probability for Bitcoin to go up by March 9, suggesting a bullish sentiment among participants. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 60.5%, indicating a consensus on the potential price movement. With an edge of -3, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting a balanced outlook.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans bullish with a 63.5% probability for an upward trend.
• 2 The Pulse AI probability is slightly lower at 60.5%, indicating a cautious optimism.
• 3 The edge of -3 suggests that the market is fairly priced without significant mispricing.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 80/100, reflecting strong participant conviction.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 7 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 8 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 9 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.