Bolt vs. Shimabukuro: Match O/U 23.5

The market strongly favors over 23.5 points in the Bolt vs. Shimabukuro match.

With a market probability of 99.95% for the over 23.5 points, there is a strong consensus that the match will exceed this threshold. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability, indicating high confidence in the outcome. However, the edge of -0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced expectations.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of the over.
• 2 High probability indicates strong confidence in scoring.
• 3 The edge suggests no significant mispricing in the market.
• 4 Market dynamics could shift with unexpected events.
• 5 Confidence level is moderate, indicating some uncertainty.

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Sho Shimabukuro in the Miami Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 16 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.