Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?

The market strongly favors a rise in crude oil prices by March 18.

With a market probability of 95.75% for an increase in crude oil prices, sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The AI model corroborates this with a probability of 94.25%, indicating strong alignment between human and AI predictions, though the edge suggests the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current sentiment is highly bullish for crude oil prices.
• 2 Market probability indicates strong confidence in price increase.
• 3 AI predictions align closely with market sentiment.
• 4 The edge suggests the market is fairly valued.
• 5 Confidence level is high at 80 out of 100.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is higher than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

This market will resolve to "Down" if, on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is lower than the previous trading day's official settlement price for the same Active Month contract.

For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to deter