The market strongly favors the match going over 22.5 points.
With a market probability of 99.95% for the match to go over 22.5 points, there is a strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, estimating a 99% probability. The edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in the outcome.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Damas and Jan Choinski in the Murcia, scheduled for March 16 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.