The market strongly favors over 22.5 points in the Erhard vs. Martin match.
With a market probability of 99.95% for the over 22.5 points, there is a strong consensus that the match will exceed this threshold. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 99%, indicating high confidence in this outcome, though the edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathys Erhard and Andrej Martin in the Kigali 2, scheduled for March 9 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.