Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Market indicates low likelihood of FDV exceeding $2B post-launch.

The market shows a strong preference for the NO outcome, with a probability of 96.6% against a YES probability of 3.4%. This suggests that participants believe the extended FDV will not surpass $2B shortly after launch, reflecting a cautious sentiment towards the project's initial valuation.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative towards achieving a $2B FDV.
• 2 The probabilities indicate a well-balanced market with no clear edge.
• 3 Confidence level of 75/100 suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential market shifts.
• 5 Historical trends show that post-launch valuations often underperform initial expectations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".