Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Market favors a NO outcome for FDV exceeding $500M after launch.

The prediction market indicates a 74.5% probability that the fully diluted valuation (FDV) will not exceed $500M one day post-launch. With a confidence level of 75/100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited expectations for a strong market debut. The current sentiment leans towards skepticism regarding the valuation threshold being met.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong NO sentiment at 74.5%.
• 2 The confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 3 Market pricing suggests expectations are aligned with historical performance post-launch.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting balanced interest in both outcomes.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential market shifts based on early performance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".