The market strongly favors the match going over 22.5 points.
With a market probability of 99.95% for the match to go over 22.5 points, there is a strong consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability, indicating a high level of confidence in this outcome despite a slight edge suggesting the market is fairly priced.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Arthur Cazaux in the Phoenix, scheduled for March 10 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.