Market strongly favors NO for games over 9.5 in Set 1 between Friend and Kozlov.
The prediction market indicates a very high probability of NO at 99.95%, suggesting that the expectation for games in Set 1 to exceed 9.5 is extremely low. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with the market, further confirming that the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.95.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and Stefan Kozlov in the Phoenix, scheduled for March 11 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.