Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Market suggests low confidence in Katana FDV exceeding $200M post-launch.

The prediction market indicates an 88% likelihood that Katana's fully diluted valuation will not exceed $200 million one day after launch. With a confidence level of 65 out of 100, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting a cautious sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 Market probability suggests skepticism about valuation growth.
• 3 Historical trends show similar projects often underperform initial expectations.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, indicating balanced participation.
• 5 Time to expiry is extensive, allowing for potential market shifts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Katana's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Katana (https://x.com/katana) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".