Medvedev vs. Baez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

The market strongly favors under 10.5 games in Set 1 of Medvedev vs. Baez.

The prediction market shows a decisive 100% probability for NO on the total games exceeding 10.5, indicating strong confidence in a low-scoring set. The AI probability aligns closely, suggesting limited expectation for a high number of games played. With an 80/100 confidence level, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against over 10.5 games.
• 2 AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level indicates stability in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in player performance.
• 5 Historical matchups suggest low-scoring sets are common.

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Baez in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 10 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.