Medvedev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

High probability for over 10.5 games in Set 1 of Medvedev vs. Sinner match.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that the first set will exceed 10.5 games, with a probability of 99.95%. This aligns closely with the AI's assessment of a 99% likelihood, suggesting a well-informed market. The edge of -0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced at this time.

• 1 Market shows extremely high confidence in the over 10.5 games outcome.
• 2 Both players have a history of competitive matches that often exceed this threshold.
• 3 Market pricing suggests no significant misalignment with AI predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in sentiment or information.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, supporting the current market probabilities.

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 15 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.