MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

Market expects MegaETH to exceed $800M in cap post-launch with a 61% probability.

The prediction market indicates a 61% probability that MegaETH's market cap will surpass $800M within one day of its launch. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 58%, suggesting a consensus on the potential for strong initial demand. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards optimism for MegaETH's launch.
• 2 Key factors include overall crypto market trends and investor interest.
• 3 Historical base rates for similar launches can provide context for expectations.
• 4 Liquidity in the market may influence the ability to reach the target cap quickly.
• 5 Time pressure is significant with only 2688 hours until market expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."