Market favors Metamask FDV exceeding $300M post-launch with a 62% probability.
The prediction market indicates a 62% probability that Metamask's fully diluted valuation will surpass $300 million one day after its launch. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower likelihood at 57.5%, indicating a consensus around the market's pricing. With a confidence level of 60 out of 100 and a fair pricing edge of -4.5, the market appears balanced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".