Nesterov vs. Jones: Match O/U 23.5

The market strongly favors the match going over 23.5 points.

With a market probability of 99.85% for the match to exceed 23.5 points, there is a significant consensus among participants. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this prediction at 99%, indicating strong confidence in the outcome. The edge of -0.85 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a balanced view on the likelihood of the over hitting.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of the over.
• 2 Both market and AI probabilities are closely aligned.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is relatively high at 75/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 152 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Nesterov and Maximus Jones in the Hersonissos 2, scheduled for March 10 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.