Market favors over 1.5 rounds with a slight edge towards fair pricing.
The market shows a 60.50% probability for over 1.5 rounds, indicating a strong expectation for a longer contest. However, the Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly lower expectation at 57.5%, indicating a potential alignment with market sentiment but also highlighting uncertainty. With a confidence level of 50/100 and a time to expiry of 5 hours, the market appears fairly priced with limited room for drastic shifts.
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond March 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.