O/U 2.5 Rounds

The market strongly favors under 2.5 rounds in this matchup.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO and a Pulse AI probability of 99%, the consensus indicates a high likelihood that the fight will not exceed 2.5 rounds. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting strong sentiment against a longer fight duration.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a fight ending before 2.5 rounds.
• 2 Current probabilities indicate minimal chance for over 2.5 rounds.
• 3 The edge suggests that the market is accurately reflecting expectations.
• 4 High confidence level indicates strong consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, which may affect market dynamics.

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

For example:

“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.

“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.

If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”

If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond March 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.