O/U 4.5 Rounds

The market on rounds is closely balanced, with a slight lean towards fewer than 4.5 rounds.

The prediction market shows a near-equal probability for both outcomes regarding the total rounds, with a slight edge for fewer than 4.5 rounds. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar balance, indicating uncertainty in the expected duration of the event. Given the confidence level of 50/100, participants should be aware of the volatility in this market.

• 1 Market probability favors NO slightly at 54%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is closely aligned at 51% for NO.
• 3 Current sentiment indicates uncertainty with a balanced outlook.
• 4 The edge of 3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited at 5 hours, increasing potential volatility.

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.

Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.

For example:

“Over 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5.

“Under 4.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5.

If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 5 for a 4.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”

If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond March 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.