The market strongly favors the match going over 22.5 points.
With a market probability of 100% for the match going over 22.5 points, and an AI probability of 98.5%, there is a strong consensus on this outcome. The edge of -1.5 suggests that the market is fairly priced, indicating no significant mispricing at this time.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Raphael Collignon in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 22 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.