Pegula vs. Rybakina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Market for Pegula vs. Rybakina's Set 1 games is closely balanced.

The prediction market indicates a slight edge towards over 10.5 games in Set 1, with a probability of 52%. However, the AI probability suggests a marginal lean towards under 10.5 games, reflecting a very close contest. The edge of -3 indicates that the market is fairly priced, with no significant discrepancies noted.

• 1 Market probability shows a slight favor for over 10.5 games.
• 2 AI probability is nearly even, indicating uncertainty.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively long at 167 hours.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a -3 edge.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Elena Rybakina in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 13 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total.
If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official WTA results.