Market overwhelmingly favors the match total being under 22.5 games.
The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the match total exceeding 22.5 games, with a 99.95% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the total surpassing the threshold, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the 'NO' outcome.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Murcia, scheduled for March 20 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.