Schwaerzler vs. Napolitano: Match O/U 22.5

The market strongly favors over 22.5 points for Schwaerzler vs. Napolitano.

With a market probability of 99.95% for the over 22.5 points, there is a strong consensus that the match will exceed this threshold. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability, indicating high confidence in the outcome. However, the edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced expectations.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in the over 22.5 points outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating strong predictive agreement.
• 3 The edge of -0.95 suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 75/100 indicates a moderate level of certainty in the prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry of 47 hours allows for potential shifts in sentiment or information.

This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Stefano Napolitano in the Kigali, scheduled for March 7 2026.
This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under."
All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.