Set 1 Winner: Aguilar vs Svrcina

The market strongly favors Svrcina to win against Aguilar.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.95% for Svrcina winning, indicating strong confidence in this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for Aguilar at 1%. With a time to expiry of 156 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 0.95.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors Svrcina at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight chance for Aguilar at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level in the market is rated at 75/100.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 indicates fair pricing in the market.
• 5 156 hours remain until the market expires, allowing time for potential shifts.

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Dalibor Svrcina in the Miami Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 16 2026.
This market will resolve to “Aguilar” if Daniel Merida Aguilar wins the first set. It will resolve to “Svrcina” if Dalibor Svrcina wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.