Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 80/100. Market appears fairly priced.
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Eero Vasa in the Kigali 2, scheduled for March 10 2026.
This market will resolve to “Baena” if Roberto Carballes Baena wins the first set. It will resolve to “Vasa” if Eero Vasa wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.