Market strongly favors Bailly to win against Canas.
The prediction market indicates a 100% probability for Bailly to win, aligning closely with the Pulse AI's 99% estimate. This suggests a strong consensus among participants regarding Bailly's expected victory, with minimal perceived risk of an upset.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gilles Arnaud Bailly and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Murcia, scheduled for March 19 2026.
This market will resolve to “Bailly” if Gilles Arnaud Bailly wins the first set. It will resolve to “Canas” if Alejandro Moro Canas wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.