Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Zverev

Cerundolo is unlikely to win against Zverev, with a low probability of 3%.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Cerundolo winning, with a 97% probability for a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low chance of an upset. Given the current probabilities, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.

• 1 Market probability favors Zverev heavily at 97%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability slightly higher for YES at 4.5%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is 161 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 Current market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Alexander Zverev in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 26 2026.
This market will resolve to “Cerundolo” if Francisco Cerundolo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Zverev” if Alexander Zverev wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.