Set 1 Winner: Fearnley vs Cazaux

Fearnley is highly unlikely to win against Cazaux according to market data.

The market shows a strong consensus against Fearnley winning, with a 100% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 99% probability of NO, indicating a high level of confidence in Cazaux's victory.

• 1 Market indicates a strong belief in Cazaux's dominance.
• 2 Fearnley's chances are perceived as negligible by participants.
• 3 The edge score suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 High confidence level reflects strong consensus among bettors.
• 5 No imminent expiry may allow for shifts in sentiment over time.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and Arthur Cazaux in the Phoenix, scheduled for March 10 2026.
This market will resolve to “Fearnley” if Jacob Fearnley wins the first set. It will resolve to “Cazaux” if Arthur Cazaux wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.