Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Baena

Jong is heavily favored to win against Baena with high confidence.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that Jong will win against Baena, with a 100% probability for a YES outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a 99% likelihood, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with minimal edge. The confidence level is relatively high at 80 out of 100, reflecting a strong belief in Jong's victory.

• 1 Market probability indicates overwhelming support for Jong's victory.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 The edge of -1 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80 indicates strong belief in the outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is 150 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Roberto Carballes Baena in the Murcia, scheduled for March 21 2026.
This market will resolve to “Jong” if Jesper de Jong wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baena” if Roberto Carballes Baena wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.