Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Pegula

Rybakina is favored to win against Pegula with a 61% probability.

The prediction market indicates a 61% probability for Rybakina to win against Pegula, suggesting a strong sentiment towards her success. The market appears fairly priced, with no significant edge identified. Confidence in this prediction is moderate, reflecting a balanced view of the competitors' capabilities.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors Rybakina with a 61% probability.
• 2 No significant edge indicates the market is well-balanced.
• 3 Confidence level is moderately high at 75 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is 170 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 Factors such as player injuries or recent match outcomes could influence probabilities.

This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 25 2026.
This market will resolve to “Rybakina” if Elena Rybakina wins the first set. It will resolve to “Pegula” if Jessica Pegula wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.