Set 1 Winner: Walton vs Baez

The market shows a close contest between Walton and Baez.

With a market probability of 45.50% for Walton and 54.5% for Baez, the competition is tightly contested. The Pulse AI probability further indicates a slight edge for Baez at 51.5%, suggesting balanced expectations among participants. The confidence level of 55/100 reflects uncertainty as the event approaches its expiry in 140 hours.

• 1 Market probabilities indicate a nearly even split in expectations.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slight advantage for Baez over Walton.
• 3 The edge score of 3 indicates that the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 55 suggests moderate uncertainty among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is 140 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This market refers to the tennis match between Adam Walton and Sebastian Baez in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 19 2026.
This market will resolve to “Walton” if Adam Walton wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins the first set.
If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.