Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)

Medvedev is heavily favored to win against Baez with a -1.5 handicap.

The market shows a strong consensus that Medvedev will cover the -1.5 handicap against Baez, with probabilities indicating a near-certain outcome. The edge of -0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in Medvedev's performance. With 151 hours until expiry, there is still time for potential shifts in sentiment or information.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors Medvedev to win by more than 1.5 games.
• 2 The probability of Medvedev winning is exceptionally high at 99.95%.
• 3 The market appears to be efficiently priced with a minimal edge of -0.95.
• 4 Confidence level in the prediction is robust at 80 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for potential fluctuations in player conditions or market dynamics.

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Baez in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 10 2026.
This market will resolve to "Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Sebastian Baez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baez."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.