Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)

Market favors Collignon to cover the spread against Paul.

The market indicates a strong preference for Collignon, with a 75.1% probability of him covering the +1.5 handicap. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher probabilities for a YES outcome. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 55 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors Collignon covering the spread.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance for Paul than market odds.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in current pricing.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 159 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market appears balanced with a small edge of 1.5 points.

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Raphael Collignon in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 22 2026.
This market will resolve to "Paul" if Tommy Paul wins by 2 or more sets than Raphael Collignon, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Collignon."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.