Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)

Market heavily favors Arnaldi to cover the handicap against Shevchenko.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Arnaldi will not lose by more than 1.5 points against Shevchenko, with a 99.95% probability for this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with slightly higher uncertainty, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a confidence level of 75 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming support for Arnaldi.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in current pricing.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 suggests the market is efficiently priced.

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Matteo Arnaldi in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 18 2026.
This market will resolve to "Shevchenko" if Alexander Shevchenko wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Arnaldi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arnaldi."
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official ATP results.